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dc.contributor.authorBishop, John H.
dc.date.accessioned2019-10-28T08:28:43Z
dc.date.available2019-10-28T08:28:43Z
dc.date.created2018-09-05 00:25
dc.date.issued1992-02-18
dc.identifieroai:digitalcommons.ilr.cornell.edu:cahrswp-1287
dc.identifierhttp://digitalcommons.ilr.cornell.edu/cahrswp/288
dc.identifierhttp://digitalcommons.ilr.cornell.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1287&context=cahrswp
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12424/2437670
dc.description.abstractThe Bureau of Labor Statistics projections of occupational employment growth have consistently underpredicted the growth of skilled occupations. BLS currently projects that professional, technical and managerial jobs will account for 40.9 percent of employment growth between 1990 and 2005. Forecasting regressions predict, to the contrary, that these occupations will account for 53 to 68 percent of employment growth through the year 2005. Between 1986 and 1991 these occupations, in fact, accounted for 64 percent of employment growth. The BLS's projections of the supply/demand balance for college graduates have also been off the mark--predicting a surplus for the 1980s when in fact a shortage developed and relative wage ratios for college graduates rose to all time highs. I project a slowdown in the growth of college educated workers during the 1990s and a continuing escalation of wage premiums for college graduates.
dc.format.mediumapplication/pdf
dc.publisherDigitalCommons@ILR
dc.sourceCAHRS Working Paper Series
dc.subjectskills
dc.subjectshortage
dc.subjectemployment
dc.subjectoccupation
dc.subjectsupply
dc.subjectdemand
dc.subjectwage
dc.subjectcollege
dc.subjectgraduate
dc.subjectprofessional
dc.subjecttechnical
dc.subjectworker
dc.subjecteducation
dc.subjectjob
dc.subjectrequirement
dc.subjectBLS
dc.subjectprojection
dc.titleIs a Skills Shortage Coming? A Review of BLS Occupational Projections to 2005
dc.typetext
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ge.identifier.legacyglobethics:15079351
ge.identifier.permalinkhttps://www.globethics.net/gel/15079351
ge.lastmodificationdate2018-09-05 00:25
ge.lastmodificationuseradmin@pointsoftware.ch (import)
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ge.oai.setnameFaculty Publications - Human Resource Studies
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ge.linkhttp://digitalcommons.ilr.cornell.edu/cahrswp/288
ge.linkhttp://digitalcommons.ilr.cornell.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1287&context=cahrswp


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