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Reducing the Vulnerability of Azerbaijan's Agricultural Systems to Climate Change : Impact Assessment and Adaptation OptionsAhouissoussi, Nicolas; Boehlert, Brent B.; Srivastava, Jitendra P.; Okan, Cuneyt; Strzepek, Kenneth M.; Neumann, James E. (Washington, DC: World Bank, 2014-05-12)In countries such as Azerbaijan, the risks of climate change for the agricultural sector are a particularly immediate and important problem because the majority of the rural population depends either directly or indirectly on agriculture for their livelihoods. The need to adapt to climate change in all sectors is now on the agenda of the countries and development partners. International efforts to limit greenhouse gases and to mitigate climate change now and in the future will not be sufficient to prevent the harmful effects of temperature increases, changes in precipitation, and increased frequency and severity of extreme weather events. In response to these challenges, the World Bank and the government of Azerbaijan embarked on a joint study to identify and prioritize options for climate change adaptation of the agricultural sector. The study provides a framework for evaluating alternatives for investment in adaptation for the Azerbaijani government, potentially assisted by the donor community, and for the private agricultural sector. The framework has two critical components: (i) rigorous quantitative assessments, and (ii) structured discussion with local experts and farmers. The study recommends specific actions for policy makers ranked according to the results of the quantitative and qualitative analyses.
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Reducing the Vulnerability of Albania's Agricultural Systems to Climate Change : Impact Assessment and Adaptation OptionsSrivastava, Jitendra P.; Neumann, James E.; Droogers, Peter; Sutton, William R.; Strzępek, Kenneth M. (Washington, DC: World Bank, 2013-10-25)Changes in climate and their impact on agricultural systems and rural economies are already evident throughout Europe and Central Asia (ECA). Adaptation measures now in use in Albania, largely piecemeal efforts, will be insufficient to prevent impacts on agricultural production over the coming decades. There is growing interest at the country and development partner levels to have a better understanding of the exposure, sensitivities, and impacts of climate change at farm level, and to develop and prioritize adaptation measures to mitigate the adverse consequences. Specifically, this report provides a menu of climate change adaptation options for the agriculture and water resources sectors, along with specific adaptation actions, that are tailored to four distinct agro-ecological zones (AEZs) within Albania. This menu reflects the results of three inter-related activities, conducted jointly by the team and local partners: (1) quantitative economic modeling of baseline conditions and the effects of climate change and an array of adaptation options; (2) qualitative analysis conducted by the team of agronomists, crop modelers, and water resources experts; and (3) input from a series of participatory workshops for national decision makers and farmers in each of the AEZs. This report provides a summary of the methods, data, results, and adaptation options for each of these activities.
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Reducing the Vulnerability of Georgia's Agricultural Systems to Climate Change : Impact Assessment and Adaptation OptionsNeumann, James E.; Srivastava, Jitendra P.; Droogers, Peter; Okan, Cuneyt; Ahouissoussi, Nicolas (Washington, DC: World Bank, 2014-05-12)In countries such as Georgia, the risks of climate change for the agricultural sector are a particularly immediate and important problem because the majority of the rural population depends either directly or indirectly on agriculture for their livelihoods. The most effective plans for adapting the sector to climate change will involve both human capital and physical capital enhancements; however, many of these investments can also enhance agricultural productivity right now, under current climate conditions. Recommendations, such as improving the accessibility to farmers of agriculturally relevant weather forecasts, will yield benefits as soon as they are implemented and provide a means for farmers to autonomously adapt their practices as climate changes. In response to these challenges, the World Bank and the Government of Georgia embarked on a joint study to identify and prioritize options for climate change adaptation of the agricultural sector, with explicit consideration of greenhouse gas emission reduction potential of these options. The study was conducted in three stages: awareness raising; quantitative and qualitative analysis; and finalization of the analysis and menu of adaptation options. This report provides a menu of options for climate change adaptation in the agricultural and water resources sectors, along with specific recommended actions that are tailored to distinct agricultural regions within Georgia. This report provides a summary of the methods, data, results, and recommendations for each of these activities, which were reviewed by local counterparts at the October 8, 2012, national dissemination and consensus building conference.