Author(s)
Lopez-Calix, Jos??Keywords
LOCAL GOVERNMENTSPRODUCTIVITY GROWTH
AGRICULTURAL ACTIVITIES
INVENTORY
REAL GDP
SMALL BUSINESSES
FARMERS
ENTREPRENEURIAL ACTIVITY
SOVEREIGN BONDS
BANKS
PRODUCTIVITY
EXTERNALITIES
DIVERSIFICATION
GOVERNMENT SPENDING
OPEN ECONOMY
ACCESS TO CREDIT
FISCAL DEFICIT
LACK OF ACCESS
FARMS
MACROECONOMIC POLICIES
CREDIT LINES
TRADE REGIME
HIGH GROWTH
JOB CREATION
COLLATERAL
GROWTH PATTERN
AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY
SAVINGS
HOLDING
FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS
EARNINGS
WOMAN
URBAN AREAS
EXPORTER
MACROECONOMIC MANAGEMENT
HUMAN RESOURCE
FOREIGN EXCHANGE MARKET
EXTERNAL SHOCKS
ID
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
ENVIRONMENTAL
TAX POLICY
CREDIT CRUNCH
ENTERPRISE DEVELOPMENT
PUBLIC INVESTMENT
LIVING STANDARDS
PRIVATE CREDIT
RETURNS
COAL
BORROWING
GDP PER CAPITA
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
MACROECONOMIC STABILITY
PRIVATE INVESTMENTS
FISCAL CONSTRAINTS
PUBLIC POLICY
GINI COEFFICIENT
ECONOMIC SITUATION
PURCHASING POWER
ENROLLMENT
AMORTIZATIONS
REAL INTEREST
MARKET FAILURES
PRIVATE SAVINGS
LIQUIDITY
RESERVE REQUIREMENTS
TOTAL OUTPUT
ENDOWMENTS
AGRICULTURE
MOVABLE COLLATERAL
FAMILY FARMS
EMPLOYER
EXTERNAL DEBT
INTERNATIONAL TRADE
FINANCIAL CRISIS
TRADE LIBERALIZATION
GREEN REVOLUTION
REGISTRATION SYSTEM
CURRENCY CRISIS
REGULATORY BARRIERS
CROWDING OUT
DEMOGRAPHIC TRANSITION
TOTAL FACTOR PRODUCTIVITY
ECONOMIC CLIMATE
RICH COUNTRIES
ANTI-EXPORT BIAS
LABOR FORCE PARTICIPATION
INSTRUMENT
MONETARY POLICIES
REDUCED POVERTY
CREDIBILITY
FOREIGN EXCHANGE
FISCAL REFORM
EXPORTS
SOCIAL NETWORKS
TRADE POLICY
BALANCE OF PAYMENTS
PER CAPITA GROWTH
REPAYMENTS
FEMALE LITERACY
CURRENT ACCOUNT
INSTITUTIONAL REFORM
LANDLESS HOUSEHOLDS
FAMILY INCOME
DEVELOPMENT PROJECTS
INTERNATIONAL CREDIT
FORMAL LOANS
FEMALE ENTREPRENEURS
PUBLIC DEBT
RESERVES
MIGRANT WORKERS
FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT
CENTRAL BANK
SMALLHOLDER
LEVEL PLAYING FIELD
POLITICAL ECONOMY
POVERTY REDUCTION
WATER POLLUTION
NATURAL DISASTERS
STAGFLATION
INVESTMENT CLIMATE
EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT
CPI
SELF-EMPLOYMENT
INVESTMENT RATE
GDP
CREDIT EXPANSION
ECONOMIC DIFFICULTIES
INTERNATIONAL STANDARDS
SUPPLY CHAINS
TAXATION
REGULATORY FRAMEWORK
LAND OWNERSHIP
GROWTH RATE
INTERMEDIATE GOODS
MONETARY POLICY
AGRICULTURAL OUTPUT
EXCHANGE RATE
NATURAL RESOURCES
HIGH ELASTICITY
INTERNATIONAL BANK
ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE
RESERVE
BANK CREDIT
ELASTICITY
TAX REVENUES
PRIVATE SECTOR CREDIT
DECLINE IN INVESTMENT
INTEREST RATES
TAX REVENUE
MACROECONOMIC INSTABILITY
INEQUALITY
SOCIAL SECURITY
BALANCE OF PAYMENTS CRISIS
NATURAL ENDOWMENTS
WOMEN ENTREPRENEURS
HUMAN CAPITAL
MONETARY FUND
BANK FINANCING
INFLATION RATES
LIVING STANDARD
LABOR FORCE
TERRORISM
MICROFINANCE
TELECOMMUNICATIONS
INEQUALITIES
PUBLIC INVESTMENTS
EXPENDITURE
REAL INTEREST RATES
AGRICULTURAL SECTOR
EXTERNAL IMBALANCES
FINANCIAL RESOURCES
BARRIERS TO COMPETITION
POVERTY RATE
AGRICULTURAL TAX
INFLATION
COLLATERAL SYSTEM
DEBT
DOMESTIC MARKETS
UNEMPLOYMENT
CREDIT MARKETS
GROWTH POTENTIAL
PURCHASING POWER PARITY
FISCAL DEFICITS
CORPORATE GOVERNANCE
PUBLIC SAVINGS
CURRENCY
ACCESS TO FINANCE
REMITTANCES
OIL
CAPACITY BUILDING
COUNTRY RISK
TAX REFORM
RED TAPE
CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICIT
RAPID GROWTH
CORRUPTION
PHYSICAL CAPITAL
ECONOMIC GROWTH
EXTERNAL FINANCING
JOB OPPORTUNITIES
TAX EXEMPTIONS
PRIVATE INVESTMENT
FLEXIBLE EXCHANGE RATE
INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS
TRANSPARENCY
COMPETITIVENESS
URUGUAY ROUND
CAPITAL ACCUMULATION
CAPITAL INFLOWS
LAND REGISTRATION
INFORMAL ECONOMY
GOVERNMENT BORROWING
SAFETY NETS
HOUSEHOLDS
INCOME LEVEL
EXPORT DIVERSIFICATION
SMALL ENTERPRISES
DEVELOPMENT POLICY
INTERNATIONAL FINANCE
FOOD SHORTAGES
LINES OF CREDIT
POPULATION SHARE
WEALTH
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http://hdl.handle.net/10986/17857Abstract
Pakistan's rebound from the global financial crisis has been slow and fragile, and unless it changes course swiftly, it could face the prospects of a second balance of payments crisis in less than five years. Its recovery from the 2008-09 global financial crisis has been the weakest in South Asia, featuring a unique double-dip growth pattern. With high fertility, Pakistan will double the size of its already young population by 2025. The only way to convert this massive demographic bulge from a political and social burden to an exceptional dividend is through rapid and inclusive growth that creates millions of new and better jobs. In sum, the two main challenges are improving the types of jobs available and enabling people to move into those more productive activities. The binding constraints to Pakistan's growth are both emerging and structural. Emerging constraints include massive cuts in electricity access and macroeconomic instability, leading to high country risk and a sudden stop in external and domestic financing. Structural constraints include low access to domestic finance and government and market failures (micro risks) that impede investment, entrepreneurial activity, and competitiveness, blocking the transition from low-productivity to high-productivity jobs. Pakistan is at a turning point. It could stick to a status quo of piecemeal reforms leading to partial and unsatisfactory outcomes, which at best would lead it to recover its modest historic growth rate of 4-4.5 percent, or it could aim for a bold reform agenda supporting rapid growth (on or above 7 percent) and job creation. Both options are possible, but the former would make it very difficult for Pakistan to meet the aspirations of its people, and especially of its youth.Date
2014-04-16Identifier
oai:openknowledge.worldbank.org:10986/17857http://hdl.handle.net/10986/17857
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CC BY 3.0 IGORelated items
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